San Jaya Prime

Predictability and Randomness in Groups

What is more predictable? Rolling one six-sided die or flipping a coin? The coin of course. However, you can still predict the coin when rolling the die, and simply by calling odds or evens. In this way, a person with many facets can be predicted using simplifications, and yet they remain more unpredictable than a person with less aspects. Now, to take the individual into a group. We can state the odds for rolling one die Our guess has a 1in6 chance of accuracy. Our odds to guess the average of a roll increase with every die we add up until a point. Groups are easier to predict than individuals. You or I can bring chaos to a system, but, by its growth alone, a society will continually move towards order and predictability.

 
  1. soundbytepsychology posted this
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Wake up! It's time to dream a new dream.